Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jurij Rodionov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Mochizuki has a slightly lower success rate on second serves, winning 44.35% of points, compared to Rodionov's 45.88%. Does this give Rodionov the edge? It might, especially in tightly contested games.
• When returning serves, Mochizuki excels, capturing 48.87% of opponent's second serve points and 29.08% of first serve points, which are both higher than Rodionov's percentages of 45.61% and 24.39% respectively.
• Under pressure, Rodionov has saved a higher percentage of breakpoints at 54.05% compared to Mochizuki's 49.48%. Could this hint at Rodionov handling pressure better?
• Over the past year, Mochizuki has a slightly better win percentage (59.21%) compared to Rodionov’s 58.33%, showcasing a similar overall effectiveness in matches.
• Mochizuki performs best on grass with a 58% win rate, whereas Rodionov excels on indoor hard courts, winning 63% of those matches. Does this match surface favor Rodionov?
• Both players primarily play at the Challenger/ITF level, with Mochizuki having a marginally higher win rate of 61.11% compared to Rodionov’s 59.32%, indicating similar performance levels at this competitive segment.
• In direct matchups, Mochizuki and Rodionov are tied, each having won one match. However, Mochizuki leads in total sets, winning 3 out of 5.
• When matches have gone to a deciding set, Rodionov has the advantage, winning 1 out of 1 in their head-to-head encounters, and overall holds a 65% win rate in deciding sets compared to Mochizuki's 56% overall.
• In extreme pressure situations, Mochizuki has shown strength by winning their only tiebreak, while Rodionov is yet to win one in their head-to-head clashes.
• Both players have faced similar levels of competition over the last year, with opponent rank averages being nearly identical: 243.05 for Mochizuki and 239.57 for Rodionov.
• Regarding breakpoint conversion, both are closely matched with Mochizuki converting 36.2% and Rodionov 35.75% of opportunities, indicating a balanced approach in taking advantage of breakpoints.

Editorial Prediction (August 18, 2025, UTC):

Mochizuki's superior return game could be a deciding factor, as he consistently wins more points on opponent serves. This advantage on return puts pressure on Rodionov to maintain high performance on his serve.

While Rodionov demonstrates resilience under pressure with better breakpoint saving abilities, Mochizuki's ability to win crucial points during returns and previous set wins could give him an edge.

The surface may also play a role, with Rodionov potentially benefiting on indoor hard courts; however, if the match is on grass, Mochizuki could capitalize on his stronger grass court statistics.

Considering all the stats and head-to-head history, Mochizuki may have a slight edge over Rodionov in this upcoming match, particularly if he leverages early breaks and maintains robust returns.

Overall, Mochizuki appears slightly more likely to secure victory in this encounter based on his return game strength and head-to-head set performances.